This message sent to me by Doug Paul, CPA and source of financial wisdom in my life:
“Perhaps you saw on the news earlier this week that Tom Sargent was named the co-winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics.
He was a roommate of mine at Berkeley, and an incredible guy to know. Milton Friedman (who I knew at Sea Ranch) always said it was only a matter of time before Tom got the Nobel.
Anyway, I just found his speech to the Econ department given at Berkeley graduation in 2007. It is short and right on—thought you might like a break from taxes to read his words:”
University of California at Berkeley
Thomas J. Sargent_
May 16, 2007
I remember how happy I felt when I graduated from Berkeley many years ago. But I thought the graduation speeches were long. I will economize on words.
Economics is organized common sense. Here is a short list of valuable lessons that our beautiful subject teaches.
1. Many things that are desirable are not feasible.
2. Individuals and communities face trade-offs.
3. Other people have more information about their abilities, their efforts, and their preferences than you do.
4. Everyone responds to incentives, including people you want to help. That is why social safety nets don’t always end up working as intended.
5. There are tradeoffs between equality and efficiency.
6. In an equilibrium of a game or an economy, people are satisfied with their choices. That is why it is difficult for well meaning outsiders to change things for better or worse.
7. In the future, you too will respond to incentives. That is why there are some promises that you’d like to make but can’t. No one will believe those promises because they know that later it will not be in your interest to deliver. The lesson here is this: before you make a promise, think about whether you will want to keep it if and when your circumstances change. This is how you earn a reputation.
8. Governments and voters respond to incentives too. That is why governments sometimes default on loans and other promises that they have made.
9. It is feasible for one generation to shift costs to subsequent ones. That is what national government debts and the U.S. social security system do (but not the social security system of Singapore).
10. When a government spends, its citizens eventually pay, either today or tomorrow, either through explicit taxes or implicit ones like inflation.
11. Most people want other people to pay for public goods and government transfers (especially transfers to themselves).
12. Because market prices aggregate traders’ information, it is difficult to forecast stock prices and interest rates and exchange rates.
If you want to read more on Tom Sargent, here is a link to his writings, etc.:
One thought on “Like Steve Job’s Graduation Speech? Try this brief one by newest Nobel Prize winner…”
I love it when one goes back to common sense which is sadly missing in many places. There’s always a reason why prices rise and people are put out of work. One lack of common sense is that we always want something for nothing. That can be a win in the short run but always has consequences in the long run.